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	<title>Investment News: Money Morning &#187; China Fire Security</title>
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		<title>Analyst Sees $1 Billion Market Opportunity and Substantial Upside for China Fire &amp; Security</title>
		<link>http://www.moneymorning.com/2007/11/15/analyst-sees-1-billion-market-opportunity-and-substantial-upside-for-china-fire-security/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 14 Nov 2007 22:35:32 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China Fire Security]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[By  William Patalon III
  Managing Editor
  Money  Morning
China Fire &#38; Security Group Inc. (CFSG), China&#8217;s  leading maker of fire-safety equipment and systems, has a $1 billion  opportunity in its home market, thanks to a newly enacted fire code few  industrial companies have complied with yet, an analyst wrote [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>By  William Patalon III<br />
  Managing Editor</strong><br />
  <strong>Money  Morning</strong></p>
<p>China Fire &amp; Security Group Inc. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=cfsg&#038;hl=en">CFSG</a>), China&#8217;s  leading maker of fire-safety equipment and systems, has a $1 billion  opportunity in its home market, thanks to a newly enacted fire code few  industrial companies have complied with yet, an analyst wrote in a research  note.</p>
<p>Michael H.V. Tieu, a China-technology stock specialist with  investment researcher Brean Murray, has <a href="http://www.newratings.com/analyst_news/article_1647265.html">initiated  coverage of China Fire &amp; Security with a &quot;Buy&quot; rating</a>, and established  a target price of $19.</p>
<p>The Beijing-based company makes and markets industrial-grade  fire-safety products, has the billion-dollar opportunity before it thanks to a  national fire code that was put in place in April, Tieu wrote. But few are in  compliance; indeed, in one major industrial sector alone, more than  three-quarters of the major companies are still working to meet the new  regulations, he said.</p>
<p>In related news, China Fire &amp; Security yesterday  (Wednesday) reported record revenue and earnings for the third quarter, with  revenue jumping a much better than expected 44.2%, and net income soaring 187%.  What&#8217;s more, the company said that by focusing on proprietary products &#8211; which  carry much higher gross margins &#8211; overall corporate gross margins rose to  59.2%, also a new record.</p>
<p>All <a href="http://money.cnn.com/news/newsfeeds/articles/newstex/AFX-0013-20948617.htm">the  results exceeded expectations</a>.</p>
<p>For the quarter ended Sept. 30, China Fire &amp; Security  said that sales reached $11.6 million, up $3.6 million, or 44%, from the comparable  quarter the year before. Operating income rose to $4.1 million, an increase of  253% from the $1.2 million reported during the third quarter of 2006. Net  income rose 187%, from $1.5 million last year to $4.4 million in the third  quarter of this year.</p>
<p>&quot;We are pleased to report another consecutive quarter of  record revenues,&quot; said Brian Lin, the company&#8217;s chief executive officer.  &quot;During this quarter, our top three customers are from [the] iron and steel,  power, and petrochemical sectors.&quot;</p>
<p>In light of the record-breaking third quarter, China Fire  raised its full-year estimate. Previously, the company had been forecasting net  income in the range of $14.7 million to $15 million. Yesterday it boosted that  to a minimum of $16.6 million.</p>
<p>Earnings per share should reach 60 cents on a fully diluted  basis, compared with a prior range of 50 cents to 54 cents, the company said.</p>
<p>Formerly known as Unipro Financial Services Inc., China Fire  &amp; Security designs and manufactures industrial fire-safety systems. It also  designs and installs industrial fire-safety systems, using its own products as  the systems&#8217; key building blocks. It markets these products, systems and  services chiefly to companies in the iron-and-steel, power and petrochemical  sectors in China.</p>
<p>The company&#8217;s three largest customers are <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=Maanshan+Iron+and+Steel+Co.+Ltd&#038;hl=en">Maanshan  Iron and Steel Co. Ltd</a>., Sichuan Dongfang Electronic Equipment, and  PetroChina Co. Ltd. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=PTR&#038;hl=en">PTR</a>),  accounting for approximately $4.9 million, or 43%, of the total revenue for the  quarter, China Fire reported.</p>
<p>In addition to those mainstay markets, China Fire &amp;  Security has completed products for use in both highway and railway tunnels,  tobacco warehouses, and a nuclear reactor &#8211; all facilities where the need for  fire-safety measures are much higher than in conventional industrial  facilities.</p>
<p>The company is now looking to move into such key business  areas as transportation, wine-and-tobacco, ships and seagoing vessels, nuclear  power plants, and public-space-markets. Those are all growth markets, given the  emergence of a consumer class in China, and given that country&#8217;s position as a  supplier of labor and components to the world. These also all represent a  logical step for China Fire to make, since its products are readily adaptable  to such uses, the company said.</p>
<p>China Fire &amp; Security&#8217;s key products include linear heat  detectors, and water-mist extinguishers.</p>
<p>In his research note &#8211; which was published last week, prior  to yesterday&#8217;s earnings announcement &#8211; Tieu said that 80% of the 1,000  iron-and-steel manufacturers in China don&#8217;t comply with the new national fire  code enacted in April. That equates to a market opportunity of almost $1  billion, said Tieu, who covers China-based technology stocks for Brean Murray.</p>
<p>China Fire &amp; Security is a leader in this market, and  its revenue pipeline is growing, Brean Murray added.</p>
<p>The $19 target price would represent a gain of 18% over the  yesterday&#8217;s closing price of $16.09. China Fire&#8217;s shares actually soared $2.44  each, or 17.88%, after the company&#8217;s earnings report was released early  yesterday.</p>
<p><strong>News  and Related Story Links:</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Newratings.com:</strong><br />
  <a href="http://www.newratings.com/analyst_news/article_1647265.html">China Fire  &amp; Security Initiated With a &quot;Buy&quot; Rating</a><strong>.</strong></li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><strong>China Fire &amp; Security Group:</strong><strong> </strong><br />
  <a href="http://www.prnewswire.com/cgi-bin/stories.pl?ACCT=104&#038;STORY=/www/story/11-13-2007/0004703890&#038;EDATE=">Financial  Report</a><strong>.</strong><strong> </strong></li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><strong>CNNMoney.com:</strong><strong> </strong><br />
  <a href="http://money.cnn.com/news/newsfeeds/articles/newstex/AFX-0013-20948617.htm">China  Fire Rallies Following Better-Than-Expected 3Q Earnings, Raised Outlook</a>.<strong> </strong></li>
</ul>
<p><strong>&nbsp;</strong></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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