Bank of China Tries to Spur Economy with Fifth Rate Cut in Three Months
By Mike Caggeso
Associate Editor
Money Morning
The People’s Bank of China continued nipping away at its one-year lending rate, cutting off 0.27 percentage points to 5.31%, its fifth rate cut in three months.
China also lowered its deposit rate by the same amount and reduced the proportion of deposits lenders have to hold as reserves by 0.5 percentage points to 15.5%, Bloomberg reported. All rate cuts will take effect Tuesday.
China’s slow burn of its interest rates is a calculated response to falling numbers across its board: gross domestic product could fall as low as 5% next year, way down from the 11.7% growth in 2007; exports fell for the first time in seven years last month; imports and manufacturing numbers also fell.
|
Unemployment figures are getting ugly, too. So far, the global financial crisis has taken 4 million city jobs from migrant workers and pushed urban unemployment up to 9.4%, the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences estimated last week. The result is rising gang violence and increased police measures and surveillances in cities hardest hit, Reuters reported.
China is also facing a dangerous decline in inflation, which limped at 2.4% annual pace in November, its fourth consecutive month-to-month drop and a sharp drop from the 4.0% posted in October, its National Statistics Bureau reported two weeks ago.
“The surprise is how small the move is,” Mark Williams, an economist with Capital Economics in London, told Bloomberg. “There’s been a sudden very rapid deterioration in all China’s economic data over the last 8 to 12 weeks.”
Last month, China cut interest rates by 1.08 percentage points, its biggest reduction in 11 years.
Also last month, China announced a massive $586 billion economic stimulus plan that will pump money into low-income housing, water and energy projects, airports, disaster relief and new railroads for the next two years.
“China understands that it’s gaining importance in the world economy and that it’s going to participate in that process,” said Keith Fitz-Gerald, Money Morning’s investment director and a former professional trade advisor who’s spent more than two decades focusing on investment opportunities in China, Japan and the rest of the Asia region.
“Many experts will see this as just a ‘bailout’ that’s directed at Chinese infrastructure projects, Chinese technology companies and at holding the global financial crisis at bay,” Fitz-Gerald said. “But the real message here is that Beijing is going to pull out all the stops to ensure that its economy does not falter. And that’s because China realizes that it’s become the super glue that’s holding the rest of the planet together.”
News and Related Story Links:
- Money Morning:
China Inflation Hits 22-Month Low, Slows to 2.4%
Pingback by Bank of China Tries to Spur Economy with Fifth Rate Cut in Three … | kozmom on 23 December 2008:
[...] details: Bank of China Tries to Spur Economy with Fifth Rate Cut in Three … [...]
Pingback by Jutia Group - Market Jitters & Political Critters on 23 December 2008:
[...] Mike Caggeso Money Morning addthis_pub = ‘jutiagroup’; addthis_logo = ‘http://www.jutiagroup.com/favicon.ico’; addthis_brand [...]
Pingback by China’s Red Dragon Turns Financial Crisis into Opportunity on 7 January 2009:
[...] further grease the recovery skids, China has reduced interest rates five times in the last three months, and loosened lending rules. Now China’s banks are perfectly positioned to get the ball [...]
Pingback by Mine Profits From BHP Billiton | on 10 February 2009:
[...] to the European Union, and even to Brazil and Chile. In every case, the central banks are dropping interest rates and bank-reserve requirements, and launching stimulus plans along similar lines, even as their central governments are cutting [...]
Pingback by Buy, Sell or Hold: Mine Profits From BHP Billiton on 8 April 2009:
[...] to the European Union, and even to Brazil and Chile. In every case, the central banks are dropping interest rates and bank-reserve requirements, and launching stimulus plans along similar lines, even as their central governments are cutting [...]